منابع مشابه
Explication of Inductive Probability
Inductive probability is the logical concept of probability in ordinary language. It is vague but it can be explicated by defining a clear and precise concept that can serve some of the same purposes. This paper presents a general method for doing such an explication and then a particular explication due to Carnap. Common criticisms of Carnap’s inductive logic are examined; it is shown that mos...
متن کاملThe Concept of Inductive Probability
The word ‘probability’ in ordinary language has two different senses, here called inductive and physical probability. This paper examines the concept of inductive probability. Attempts to express this concept in other words are shown to be either incorrect or else trivial. In particular, inductive probability is not the same as degree of belief. It is argued that inductive probabilities exist; ...
متن کاملOn the Alleged Impossibility of Inductive Probability*
Karl Popper and David Miller [1983] have argued that there is no such thing as probabilistic inductive support, as conceived of, for example, in the Bayesian theory of evidence. A little more specifically, they argue that 'all probabilistic support is purely deductive' (p. 688), and that only probabilistic countersupport (disconfirmation) could be inductive in nature. Their interesting and stri...
متن کاملRudolf Carnap STATISTICAL AND INDUCTIVE PROBABILITY
If you ask a scientist whethe; the term 'probability' a s used in science has always the same meaning, you will find a curious situation. Practically everyone will say that there is only one scientific meaning; but when you ask that it be stated, two different answers will come forth. The majmity. will refer to the concept of probability used in m a t h e m a t i d statistics and its scientific...
متن کاملInductive inference based on probability and similarity∗
We advance a theory of inductive inference designed to predict the conditional probability that certain natural categories satisfy a given predicate given that others do (or do not). A key component of the theory is the similarity of the categories to one another. We measure such similarities in terms of the overlap of metabolic activity in voxels of various posterior regions of the brain in re...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Philosophical Logic
سال: 2010
ISSN: 0022-3611,1573-0433
DOI: 10.1007/s10992-010-9144-4